Monsoon low pressure systems and stochastic risk analysis

Name of the Speaker Ms. Tresa Mary Thomas
Title of the Seminar Monsoon low pressure systems and
stochastic risk analysis
Date &Time 30th January 2019 – Wednesday – 4.15 PM
Venue Lecture Hall, ICWaR

Abstract: Every year India suffers from floods triggered by Monsoon Low pressure Systems (LPS), which cause disastrous effects at many locations in the country. In the past, a few studies developed procedures for identifying genesis points of LPS and algorithms for tracking their propagation. They were used on various reanalysis products to determine tracks of LPS originating in the Indian subcontinent. But none of those procedures are proven to be effective in predicting the interannual variability of LPS frequency observed by India Meteorological Department (IMD). Questions also arise on the subjectivity involved in the manual procedure (based on pressure charts) considered by IMD for detection of LPS tracks. Inconsistency also exists in future projections of these systems by various studies. Results obtained from investigations performed on different approaches to examine these issues would be presented.

Date(s) - 30/01/2019
12:00 am - 4:00 pm

Interdisciplinary Centre for Water Research (ICWaR) - IISc Bangalore